JULIETTE BINOCHE - President
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LAST LOOK FOR EARLY OSCAR PREDICITONS
From Gold Derby, here's the last look at an early Oscar Prediction list as a guide to potential TFF #52 films. Here's my best shot from their list:
After the Hunt/Amazon-MGM/Luca Guadagnino
The Ballad of a Small Player/Netflix/Edward Berger
Bugonia/Focus/Yorgos Lanthimos
Deliver Me from Nowhere/20th Century/Scott Cooper
Die, My Love/No Distributor/Lynne Ramsay
Frankenstein/Netflix/Guillermo Del Toro
Hamnet/Focus/Chloe Zhao
Jay Kelly/Netflix/Noah Baumbach
Marty Supreme/A24/Josh Safdie
Pressure/Focus/Anthony Maras
TFF AND CANNES
I get all entangled in the speculation about the Cannes Film Festival and its lineup every year at this time because historically there has been a steady cache of films that do Cannes in May and then North American Premiere at Telluride over Labor ay weekend.
Over the last ten years (leaving out the Covid year of 2020) the fests share 7-8 titles per year. Last year, as near as I can discern, Telluride screened eight films that had premiered at Cannes, right on the average. They were:
All We Imagine as Light
The Apprentice
Bird
Emilia Perez
Misericordia
Santosh
The Seed of the Sacred Fig
And Palme d'Or winner Anora.
Of these eight, I had five pretty consistently in my posts about Cannes from last year. Not on my radar: All We Imagine as Light, Misericordia and Santosh.
Though TFF has screened the last two Palme d'Or winners, the Golden Palme is no guarantee that a film will be featured at Telluride. As a matter of fact, it's often less likely that a Palme winner makes the Telluride lineup.
Here are the years when TFF programmed the Palme winner:
1974: The Conversation
1984: Paris, Texas
1993: Farwell My Concubine and The Piano (tie and both played TFF)
1996: Secrets and Lies
1997: Taste of Cherry
2003: Elephant
2005: L'Enfant
2007: 4 Months, 3 Weeks, 2 Days
The Hubert Bals Fund is now accepting applications for the 2025 round of its Development Support scheme, offering grants of up to €10,000 to support the early development of projects by eligible filmmakers.
“To work independently, to have a grant at this stage, it’s really great because then you don’t have to take up commercial work to survive,” said All We Imagine as Light director and previous recipient Payal Kapadia in a recent interview.
Kapadia is one of a number of distinguished filmmakers whose recent successes have been supported by the scheme. Brazilian filmmaker Gabriel Mascaro's near-future Amazonian journey O último azul (pictured above) also received HBF Development funds, and won the Silver Bear Grand Jury Prize at the Berlinale last month.
There is only a week to apply, with the deadline on 13 March 2025 at 23.59 CET.
Over the years, the Résidence du Festival de Cannes has established itself as a key venue for many of the world’s emerging film talents. From October 1, 2024, to February 15, 2025, the 48th session welcomes six promising new filmmakers, four women and two men, in Paris : Sofia Alaoui, Rudolf Fitzgerald-Leonard, Theo Montoya, Eglé Razumaite, Diwa Shah and Anastasia Veber. They will also be in Cannes from May 13 to 24, 2025.
La Résidence du Festival de Cannes © Lucie Corfias / FDC
The Festival de Cannes has initiated several programs to support and promote young filmmakers. Every year, the screenwriting residency created in 2000 welcomes twelve new filmmakers working on their first or second feature-length fiction film. Over the course of two four-and-a-half-month sessions, they receive guidance to write their screenplays and move on to production.
Winner of the Grand Prix at the last Festival de Cannes for her film All We Imagine as Light, which she wrote during the 2019 Residence, Indian director Payal Kapadia reminisces: “The script for All We Imagine as Light was still very fragile when I applied to La Résidence. Having the time and resources to write it in the company of other wonderful screenwriters and directors offered me the ideal work environment. It also gave me the opportunity to collaborate closely with my French producers, knowing that co-productions are complicated when we live far apart. Coming from India, a country where there’s a real lack of distribution for independent films, being in Paris was also a real pleasure as a cinephile! I wish I could do it all again.”
Praised by critics, All We Imagine as Light was released in France on October 2nd.
“ Coming from India, a country where there's a real lack of distribution for independent films, being in Paris was also a real pleasure as a cinephile! ”PAYAL KAPADIA
RESIDENT AT THE FESTIVAL DE CANNES IN 2019
Since its creation in 2000, the Résidence du Festival de Cannes has welcomed more than 250 filmmakers from some 60 countries, providing a springboard for many film directors who have gone on to international success. Past residents include Lucrecia Martel, Kornél Mundruczó, Sebastián Lelio and Jonas Carpignano, all of whom have won awards from major film festivals around the world.
Following their Résidence, several directors have gone on to win prestigious awards. Romania’s Corneliu Porumboiu won the Caméra d’or in 2006 with 12:08 East of Bucharest. Mexico’s Amat Escalante, in Official Selection in Cannes in 2023 with Lost in the Night (Perdidos en la noche), had already won Best Director Award in 2013 for Heli. His compatriot Michel Franco won the Un Certain Regard award in 2012 for Read more
After 11 days of an exceptional edition, the Jury of the 77th Festival de Cannes, chaired by American director, screenwriter and actress Greta Gerwig, surrounded by Turkish screenwriter and photographer Ebru Ceylan, American actress Lily Gladstone, French actress Eva Green, Lebanese director and screenwriter Nadine Labaki, as well as Spanish director and screenwriter Juan Antonio Bayona, Italian actor Pierfrancesco Favino, Japanese director Kore-eda Hirokazu and French actor and producer Omar Sy, presented its winners' list among the 22 films presented in Competition this year.
© Joachim Tournebize / Festiva
Feature Films
MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: FIRST WINNERS PREDICTIONS: PICTURE, DIRECTING AND ACTING
We're four weeks and a couple of days away from Oscar Night. Today MTFB is moving into the business of predicting who will actually win The Academy Award on March 2nd. We start with six "above-the-line" categories: Picture, Direction, and all four Acting categories. As always, TFF films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) Emilia Perez
2) The Brutalist
3) Conclave
4) Anora
5) A Complete Unknown
6) Wicked
7) The Substance
8) Nickel Boys
9) Dune: Part Two
10) I'm Still Here
BEST DIRECTION
1) Brady Corbet/The Brutalist
2) Jacques Audiard/Emilia Perez
3) Sean Baker/Anora
4) James Mangold/A CompleteUnknown
5) Coralie Fargeat/The Substance
BEST ACTRESS
1) Demi Moore/The Substance
2) Mikey Madison/Anora
3) Fernanda Torres/I'm Still Here
4) Karla Sofia Gascon/Emilia Perez
5) Cynthia Erivo/Wicked
BEST ACTOR
1) Timothee Chalamet/A Complete Unknown
2) Adrien Brody/The Brutalist
3) Ralph Fiennes/Conclave
4) Colman Domingo/Sing Sing
5) Sebastian Stan/The Apprentice
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Zoe Saldana/Emilia Perez
MTFB OSCAR SPECIAL; FINAL NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
Well, here we are...months removed from the close of TFF #51 and now down to less than 24 hours until the big reveal of nominees for the 97th Academy Awards. It could be a history making day for film from Telluride and the Oscars. The largest number of nominees in a single year that have come from TFF films is 35 which has happened thrice with TFF films from 2016, 2021 and 2023 (those are the years of the fest). TFF could see 35+ nominations for films that screened there by the end of the announcement tomorrow morning. Exciting stuff...
So, drumroll please, here are the MTFB final Oscar nomination predictions (as always, TFF films are in Bold. The film's previous rank is to the right in parentheses).
BEST PICTURE
1) Conclave
2) Emilia Perez
3) The Brutalist
4) Anora
5) A Complete Unknown
6) Wicked
7) Dune: Part Two
8) A Real Pain
9) The Substance
10) Sing Sing
Others: September 5, Nickel Boys and All We Imagine as Light.
Comment: It looks like TFF films will land four of the 10 slots which ties a record for TFF. However, if any of the "Other" possibilities sneak in over Sing Sing or The Substance, a new record could be set. I'd really love it if September 5 could slide in.
BEST DIRECTION
1) Brady Corbet/The Brutalist
2) Sean Baker/Anora
3) Jacques Audiard/Emilia Perez
4) Edward Berger/Conclave
5) Coralie Fargeat/The Substance
Others: James Mangold/ A Complete Unknown, RaMell Ross/Nickel Boys and Payal Kapadia/All We Imagine as Light.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Demi Moore/The Substance
2) Mikey Madison/Anora
3) Karla Sofia Gascon/Emilia Perez
4) Cynthia Erivo/Wicked
5) Fernanda Torres/I'm Still Here
Others: Marianne Jean-Baptiste/Hard Truths, Pamela Anderson/The Last Showgirl and Angelina Jolie/Maria.
BEST ACTOR
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MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: A LOOK AT TIGHT RACES
In today's update I'm spotlighting the instances in major categories that are tight.
Best Picture: It feels like seven films are safely locked: Conclave, Anora, Emilia Perez, The Brutalist, Wicked, A Complete Unknown and Dune Part Two. The last three slots look like a fight between The Substance, A Real Pain, Nickel Boys and Sing Sing. Also, All We Imagine as Light could sneak in with massive support from non-domestic members of the Academy.
I'm actually thinking that The Substance is nearly locked. I won't be particularly surprised at any arrangement of Real Pain, Nickel Boys or Sing Sing in that last two slots. I would be surprised if All We Imagine makes the list of ten. I'd really like to see September 5 make it. We'll see when I post the MTFB FINAL NOMINATION PREDICTIONS IN A SPECIAL POST ON WEDNESDAY.
Best Direction: Locks: Corbet, Baker, Bergen and Audiard. Last spot: Mangold, Villenueve, Fargeat, Ross or Kapadia.
Best Actress: Locks: Moore, Erivo, Madison and Gascon. Last Spot: Torres, Jean-Baptiste, Jolie or Kidman. Shocker: Winslet.
Best Actor: Locks: Fiennes, Brody, Chalamet. Last two spots: Domingo, Stan (Apprentice), Craig, Grant. Shocker: Eisenberg.
Best Supporting Actress: Locks: Locks: Saldana, Grande-Butera, Rossellini. Last two spots: Barbaro, Curtis, Jones, Gomez, Qualley or Deadwyler. The chicken bones are tending toward Curtis to grab one of these two remaining spots. Shocker: Fanning.
Best Supporting Actor: Locks: Culkin, Norton, Borisov and Pearce. Last spot: Strong, Washington, Maclin or Tucci. Shocker: Magaro.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Locks: Conclave, Emilia Perez, A Complete Unknown. Last two spots: Nickel Boys, Sing Sing, Dune Part Two, Wicked, Inside Out 2. Shocker: Hit Man .
Best Original Screenplay: Locks: Anora, The Brutalist and A Real Pain. Last two spots: The Substance, September 5, All We Imagine as Light or Hard Truths. Shockers: Challengers or The Seed of the Sacred Fig.
Best Animated Feature: Locks: The Wild Robot, Flow and Inside Out 2. Last two spots: Memoir of a Snail, Wallace and Gromet: Vengeance Most Fowl, Moana 2, Piece by Piece. Shocker: Chicken for Linda.
Best International Film: Locks: Emilia Perez, The Seed of the Sacred Fig and I'm Still Here. Last two spots: Vermiglio, The Girl with the Needle, Flow, Kneecap or Dahomey. Shocker:
Best Documentary Feature: Locks: (probably): No Other Land, Sugar cane and Daughters. Last two spots: Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat, Dahomey, Will & Harper, The Remarkable Life of Ibelin or Black Box. Shocker: Union.
ICYMI: THE PRODUCERS GUILD AND TFF
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BAFTA AND TFF #51
First came the longlists and now we have the actual nominees from the British Academy of Film and Televisions Arts (BAFTA). The Brits have nominated 14 films that played at TFF #51 for a total of 45 nominations. Conclave and Emilia Perez had the most noms with a dozen and 11 respectively. Here's the complete rundown of BAFTA nominations and TFF films:
Conclave (12): Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Direction, Actor (Fiennes), Supporting Actress (Rossellini), Casting, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Score and Costumes.
Emilia Perez (11): Best Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Actress (Gascon), Supporting Actress (Saldana), Supporting Actress (Gomez), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Makeup/Hair.
Anora (7): Best Film, Direction, Actress (Madison), Supporting Actor (Borisov), Original Screenplay, Casting and Editing.
The Apprentice (3): Best Actor (Stan), Supporting Actor (Strong) and Casting.
A Real Pain (2): Best Supporting Actor (Culkin) and Original Screenplay.
The Outrun (2): Outstanding British Film and Best Actress (Ronan).
All other films have a single nomination as follows:
Nickel Boys: Best Adapted Screenplay.
No Other Land: Best Documentary.
Will & Harper: Best Documentary.
The Seed of the Sacred Fig: Best Film Not in the English Language.
All We Imagine as Light: Best Film Not in the English Language.
Bird: Outstanding British Film.
Santosh: Outstanding Debut.
Better Man: Best Special Visual Effects.
The BAFTA Awards will be handed out on Feb. 16th.
MTFB OSCAR UPDATE-IT'S IN FLUX
It's all pretty messy now. Oscar nominations are now set to be announced on Jan. 23rd. Today I'm updating the nomination predictions for the Big Eight categories: Picture, Direction, all four acting categories and the two screenplay categories. My plan at the moment is to focus on updating close races in Monday's post and do a Special Final Oscar Nom post on Wednesday the 22
MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SHORTS
For the first time I'm taking a stab at the most difficult Oscar categories to predict both in terms of nominations and ultimate winners. These may or may not change prior to my final Oscar nomination predictions on Jan. 16th. This year of the short listed shorts TFF had two films make those lists: A Swim Lesson in Documentary Shorts and Beautiful Men in Animated Shorts.
Here's where I'm guessing the nominations will land on Jan. 19th:
ANIMATED SHORTS
1) Me
2) Maybe Elephants
3) Bottle George
4) Magic Candles
5)Wander to Wonder
Others: In the Shadow of the Cypress, The 21 and Yuck.
DOCUMENTARY SHORTS
1) Makayla's Voice: A Letter to the World
2) The Only Girl in the Orchestra
3) A Swim Lesson
4) Incident
5) Once Upon a Time in Ukraine
Others: The Quilters, Death by Numbers and Instruments of a Beating Heart.
LIVE ACTION SHORTS
1) The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
2) Dovecote
3) An Orange from Jaffa
4) Room Taken
5) The Masterpiece
Others: Crust, I Am Not a Robot and Clodagh.
THE PERCURSORS' TALE
A bunch of us that try to tell you what's going to happen when Oscar nominations and winners are announced take a look at various "precursor awards". It's a way to try to divine what the film industry is thinking as we move closer to the nomination reveal and then the Oscar ceremony itself.
Next Best Picture's Matt Neglia does a super
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